12/29/25: OwnersBox NFL Player Picks

By Shawn Stewart

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1. Kyle Pitts Sr. 4.5 Receptions

Cousins has targeted him at least eight times in each of his last four games.

Pitts has finished with seven, six, 11 and seven catches in those games, so he is a massive value at just 4.5 receptions in Week 17. This season, Pitts has at least five receptions in eight games.

While Drake London returned in Week 16, he did not eat into Pitts’ target share, as the Falcons tight end played 87.0 percent of the snaps and still saw nine looks from Cousins in that game.

Let’s go with the over

2. Bijan Robinson 43.5 Receiving Yards

Bijan Robinson has picked up at least 45 receiving yards in eight of his 15 games this season.

Robinson has excelled over the last two weeks with Cousins under center, catching 15 of his 22 targets (at least seven catches in each game) for 174 yards (at least 82 yards in each game).

He is going against a Rams defense that has allowed the eighth-most receptions (72) to the running back position this season.

Let’s go with the over


3. Puka Nacua 8.5 RECEPTIONS

Nacua is going against a Falcons team that is rank seventh in the NFL with 3,245 passing yards allowed, It isn’t going to be easy for the Rams passing defense, and for Nacua.

Nacua is likely to have 8 or fewer receptions, although a 7- or 8-catch day is still pretty amazing. However, the Falcons are likely to double up on Nacua, trying to force others to beat them.

Nacua had 12 receptions for 225 yards and 2 TDs in Seattle last Thursday, and he has 21 receptions for 27 targets with 406 yards and 2 scores in the past 2 games.

Let’s go with the Under

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