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Hello everyone and welcome to the Safe for Traps and Survival Pool Show. I'm your host Sean Stewart. On this October 30th, 2025, glad to have you on this last day of October as we're getting ahead into November. 

So right now we are in week nine of the NFL and week 10 of college football. So I have some very terrific news. Now we did have some, now before we begin with that news, I want to say if you can watch, if you can hear me on YouTube and X, make sure you not only hit that like button or heart, but make sure you follow for more for upcoming videos as well.

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You can also download it on Spotify, Apple Podcast, and iTunes as well. And we just did an update since the NBA season. So Monday, I'll be doing the NHL player survivor picks. 

And then on Tuesday is the NHL player survivor. And then Wednesday is the NBA. So just letting you guys know that. 

All right. So as I said before, we are in week nine of the NFL and my guest for tonight is Dustin Lucky as him and I, we are going to be doing the week nine NFL survivor pool. As you know, many people pick the Atlanta Falcons as I was one of them, unfortunately.

So if you were a Falcons and the Bengals, that was probably like not a good week for you this past Sunday. Okay. So as I'm looking into it, I'm looking at, looking to see if any, any stats and information about that. 

Cause usually I'll find it on Splash Sports, full genius and stuff like that. Let me look. Okay. 

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So all you have to do is just click that link and then bam, you'll see it. So we, so let us look into the standings cause I can't get the information for how many people got eliminated in their survival pool for week nine, but I assume it was a lot of people. So let us look into the NFL standings as we are talking right now.

So let us go into the AFC first. So let's go to the AFC. So in the AFC, New England is in first place with six and two followed by the Buffalo Bills at five and two. 

The Dolphins are two and six in which the Dolphins will play against Baltimore tonight. Then of course the Jets are one and seven. Now in the AFC North, Pittsburgh Steelers are four and three. 

Bengals are three and five. Ravens are two and five. Cleveland Browns are two and six. 

The AFC South, the Colts seven and one. Jaguars are four and three. Texans are three and four. 

Tennessee Titans are one and seven. Then you got the Denver Broncos six and two. Chargers five and three. 

As a matter of fact, the Chargers and the Chiefs are tied for second while the Raiders are two and five. Let's head over to the NFC. The Eagles are in first place sitting at six and two. 

Cowboys are three, four, one because that tie was when it was playing against the Green Bay Packers. The Commanders are three and five. As a matter of fact, this is their third losing streak. 

Then the Giants are two and six. Then the NFC North, Green Bay and Detroit are fighting for first place but the Packers defeated the Lions in week one so that's why they're in first place. Lions are five and two. 

Bears are four and three. Vikings are three and four. The South, Buccaneers six and two. 

Panthers four and four. Falcons three and four. Saints are one and seven. 

Then the NFC West, as a matter of fact, the Seahawks and the Rams are tied for first. 49ers are five and three and then the Cardinals are two and five. Okay, so my guest is here by the way so I'm going to invite him in and as a matter of fact, on the first week of the show, he actually predicted the New England Patriots because I want to revive that one. 

So ladies and gentlemen, please welcome back Dustin Lucky to the show once again. How you doing my friend? I'm good. How's it going? Having some technical difficulties but I'm here. 

Exactly because I remember I was like, wait a sec. I know when I first posted the short video there was one person was calling you. They was like, New England? How could New England be this good? Because again, they didn't know about it because they were so used to the Bill Belichick.

Yeah, I mean everyone underestimated Drake May. And right, Travion Henderson hasn't been good. We thought he'd be good but Mondre Stevenson is still good and with the core of receivers, they don't have a superstar but Drake May is capable of making it work with what they have and Drake May is a really good quarterback who has a rushing upside. 

So I'm not surprised by the Patriots and I don't think anybody should be surprised by him now. Exactly and then plus you're a first place with Buffalo as well as a second place. At least Buffalo did defeat the Carolina Panthers. 

Yeah, I mean and Buffalo's had a bye. New England hasn't. So I think we'll see Buffalo. 

I think it's going to be neck and neck the rest of the season between Buffalo and New England. That division both should make the playoffs. I think, you know, obviously winning the division gives you the home seed. 

So we could see those two teams play the first week of the playoffs and it might just be a matter of who's at home, who's away. And usually we don't usually see two teams in the AFC East like that. It's more likely it's always been one. 

Yeah, I mean the Jets have been historically bad forever and the Dolphins can't seem to, you know, get out of their own way. So Red had been the Patriots through the Brady area and then it's been Josh Allen and the Bills for the past five, six years. So we haven't seen it. 

Usually it's the AFC North with the Bengals and Ravens and Steelers kind of all in there have two teams. Sometimes we see the South with like the Colts and the Texans are all kind of in the mix there. And then the West, you have chargers in Denver who usually battling out for that spot and, you know, obviously Kansas City.

So, you know, the wild card. So it's nice to see two AFC East teams kind of finally being good in some competition in the division. I absolutely agree as well. 

So as a matter of fact, let us start with tonight's game. We have the Baltimore Ravens. They're playing the Miami Dolphins as the Ravens are sitting at seven and a half. 

So with Lamar Jackson being back and if you're eliminating my survival pool, just like I was, but hey, at least the great news is at least it's week nine. So at least you ain't, oh my God, what happened? So at least I got my credits. So when I look at Lamar Jackson, because I'm looking at it like this, so I'm like, okay, Lamar Jackson's back. 

And then you got to also look at John Harbaugh, his job situation with Baltimore. And then you look at the Dolphins. They ripped the part of the Atlanta Falcons, which I have never expected because the way Kirk cousins play. 

So I'm looking at this. I'm like, I would not, not only, I would not take this game. Cause I told you, there's my football games are like the worst of the worst, but this is kind of like a huge, I see some future values with the Baltimore Ravens. 

If Lamar Jackson stay healthy and keyword. Yeah. Right. 

You have the Ravens coming off a buy, so they should win this game. Like historically dolphins have not been good. Yes. 

They looked great last week against Atlanta. Lamar Jackson is back. So he should be better.

He should be fully healthy coming off the buy. So like, or maybe they didn't have a buy. Maybe they played last week, but I think Lamar coming back. 

I think you're going to see Baltimore win this game, but I'm staying away from this for survivor pool. The problem is with any team. And this is what I try to avoid survival is when you put a team into a corner, dolphins were in a corner last week where it was like, Hey, if they don't turn things around, does McDaniels get fired is to a get bench. 

There was all this talk and they came out and just show that they were a good team. So I stay away from teams that are backed into a corner because they become this unpredictable unknown. I stay away from teams with, you know, coaching changes or quarterback changes, but later, if you change quarterbacks, you don't know, that's a spark that could happen for the team and they come out and shocks people. 

So yeah, I'm staying away from this game as much as I can. Exactly. So the next one we're going to look at is the Chicago bears and the Cincinnati Bengals. 

Now what I found out that the Bengals have one of the worst defenses in the league. As you know, they gave up 39 points against the jets. I figured that was going to happen. 

They was going to lose that game. And I looked at Caleb Williams. He doesn't have as much as touchdown that it has in this month. 

And then Joe Flacco, he may be injured. So if Joe Flacco's injured, then it's safe to say that you can pick the Chicago bears, depending on what your survival pool looks like and how many people are in it. Yeah. 

I mean, I don't think it's a horrific. I think Joe Flacco practice today. So he was a full participant in practice. 

So I think he's going to be back. So I think back to play. So then I'm not taking the bears. 

The bears are one of those weird teams. Like they've been okay. But Caleb Williams hasn't been great. 

He's been good. Not great. Same with Flacco. 

He's been good. Not great. They're both teams that cause a lot that give up a lot of turnovers. 

And so turnovers are one of the things where it's a matter of inches. If the ball is one inch too far to the left, it's an interception an inch to the right. That's a touchdown, right? It's those are the things that matter. 

I'm staying away from this one, but if I had to pick this one, I think I would pick the bears knowing that Flacco is banged up. If Flacco gets another full practice in tomorrow, I'll probably stay away from it. Then I would probably go bangles. 

But as of right now with Flacco getting, I think the full practice in, or at least the limited practice today, I'll pick the bears. But if Flacco's fully go tomorrow at practice, I'm picking the bangles. Okay. 

Now another one, we're going to say the Falcons and the Patriots. Now we did talk about New England a couple of seconds ago. Now, Drake may has averaged 301 total yards as he completed 75.2% of his passage, which owns the number four overall QBR of 76.3. That is impressive. 

Now they've won five straight, all of which is covered for war as a favorite. So just let us know that anybody that bet. Now, the bad part is he is not offensive against the zone coverage. 

Now Atlanta's key injury and a New England run defense that's allowed the third fewest yards to neutralize the Falcons biggest strength in a bigger impact. Now with the Patriots being so good, there was a tough, there's a couple of games that you can save and use them for later on. If you have new, if you have not used New England, but situation like this again, I'm wanting it. 

And plus it's doing this so good. I'm saving it for future value. Yeah, I'm not, if I, so this is not the game I would pick this week. 

I think if you, if you are struggling, I think you can, it's a good bet that New England is going to win. But again, Atlanta is kind of in that back into the corner. Penix is probably going to play. 

We hope right again, they're going to come out and go, Hey, last week was a fluke. Let's show teams who we really are. And New England is good. 

And Drake may as good, but New England has some deficiencies for Andre Stevenson. Wasn't that practice today? So is trade down Henderson. Now I'm going to be the guy. 

I don't know. Is he actually any good? Hasn't seemed like it. He was great in college. 

We was drafted to be good. We'll see. I, I would struggle to pick this game, but if I'm hurting for teams and I don't have anything else, I feel really strong against there's one game I feel really strong with this week. 

This is probably like my third or fourth best game. So I would take New England in this one. Now, here's one. 

I very feel confident in that is the LA chargers going to Nashville to play the Tennessee Titans. Now, Justin Herbert does lead the league in passing yards and steer the offense to top 10 production in three straight weeks. Now last week, they just beat Minnesota 37 points at home. 

And I, and I did pick the chargers to beat the New York giants. And of course they switched quarterback. And I was like, Oh my God, really? But one thing about the chargers is, is like, when it comes to the fourth quarter, that's when I'm really scared of. 

Cause that's the, that's the history of the charters because the charges do have the history of scoring up. So the chargers should able to win this game as long as they don't do anything silly. Yeah. 

I mean, that's, that's the history of the chargers, right? Is they, they don't ever get beat. They lose a lot of games because they make mistakes, whether it's a fumble or interception or just can't stop anybody. They should easily win this game.

Tennessee's not good. I mean, Cam Ward has looked really bad. It looks like there's some contention there between him and the coaching staff. 

Coaching staff's not using them right now. Put them in situations. This is probably my second favorite game of the week. 

So if I'm out there and I'm, you know, this is a game I would probably my second favorite game to pick the chargers. They should win this game. They should come out and just get an early lead and just be able to run the Bali and then not worry about Tennessee. 

Tennessee can't score points. So Tennessee is only going to put up what? 24 points. If that may be 21 points, maybe they only put up 10, 13. 

I mean, they're not going to put up 30 some points. They're not going to put up over 24. So I think you can take the charges easily because car chargers can score points. 

They can put up 30 plus points any week. So yeah, I like the chargers in this one easily. There's one other game I like more than this, but this is my second favorite game this week.

And another game I also like is the LA Rams is going to play the New Orleans Saints because New Orleans defense is not that good. And the good thing is the game is at home. So you got to do feel better about that. 

And it looks like the LA Rams are back to the contention type of team as we're seeing. Okay. At what point, but then they're now being back where they supposed to be. 

Yeah. I mean, the Rams are really good. They are, if not for a block field goal, they beat the Eagles and they're one more win. 

And they're sitting at the top of their division. My only hesitation, again, we talk about these trap games is saying, switching quarterbacks, going to Tyler shock over Spencer rattler. I think Chuck is a good quarterback. 

I don't think he's great, but I, it's just a clip. It could be a spark for the saints to go, Hey, here's something new. We're going to do it. 

He's got a different skillset. Maybe the Rams haven't, you know, scouted them enough for having game plan to form enough. That always worries me. 

Yes. It's at home in LA, which I love. I like the Rams a lot. 

It just always worries me when you see a team who makes a big change like that, especially a quarterback, because that could just be the spark they need to pull off this big upset. And I think we as survivor pool players, we don't pay attention to the quarterback switch because we always assume like, Oh man, the starting quarterback is still going to play. And then when you hear it about the news, like three, four, five minutes late and Blake, Oh my God. 

Really? Yeah. That's the hard part. You are assuming that this guy, you're assuming that the guy who's going in is the backup. 

So he's not as good. Well, he's a rookie. So we don't know what he is, which is also like the Rams don't know what he is.

So that's, that's something like, it's just a spark. We saw it with the giants, right? Russell Wilson was okay. Not playing great. 

They made the spot to Jackson dart. People wanted Jackson darts been great. You see some of those good ones. 

You see some of the bad switches. You see teams who, you know, switch to a rookie and it doesn't work to a his first year. It was Ryan Fitzpatrick. 

They put it into a, then they took two out, put Fitzpatrick in. You just don't know. And that's, that's my fear when I'm going with survivor pool. 

I don't want the unknowns. I want as much known as possible and Tyler exactly. And what the Tyler Shuck is in the saints offense is an unknown. 

They went out and drafted them. He's had time. He's had eight weeks to learn.

He is, you know, an older player. So he's got plenty of years of experience in college. He could come out and just be above average. 

I mean, he's just above average. That's way better than what they were getting to Spencer Rattler. And he still has crystal lava. 

He still has received. So he still has out with Camara. Like he, if he's a average or above average quarterback, that seems to be really good. 

And that might pose a difficult task for the Rams. And then there's another one. I'm not feeling confident. 

It is, is my Dallas Cowboys facing against the Arizona Cardinals on Monday night. We know Dallas can score all offense, but defensively they can't handle, they can't do nothing. But I will say one thing about the Cardinals.

They do know how to do the clock magic. I will say that about the Cardinals, as much as they're under 500, they can do clock management. I will say that about the Cardinals, but that's another game. 

I will stay away with especially both teams. Yeah. Both teams to me are the teams that like, they should be good, but they're just not. 

And you don't know why they're not great. Like the Cowboys with Dak, who I think is a really good quarterback. Obviously he lands probably one of the best top five receivers in league. 

George Pickens is really good. Jake Ferguson has been good. Javante Williams has been good. 

Like they have a good team. They should be better than their record. They're just not same thing with the Cardinals. 

Kyler Murray should be a top five quarterback. He's got rushing upside. He's, you know, extends the play. 

He's got a great arm. They have Marvin Harrison, jr. Who should be a great receiver. They just can't seem to put it all together.

And so both fan bases are in this mode of like, our team's good, but we don't always feel confident. So when you don't feel confident about your team week in and week out, you really can't pick them for survivor pool. So yeah, I'm saying it'll be for both teams this week.

And there's another one. As a matter of fact, I'm looking at week nine. There's a lot of games I'm avoiding like Seattle in Washington. 

I'm avoiding that. Of course to chiefs and bills. That's an easy one. 

Another one that's suspect. That's a, yeah. Another one that is so suspect is the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Las Vegas Raiders. 

Cause right now it's like, I know it's Pete Coe's first year in the, in as a Raiders coach, but it's just like, and then you also got to look at chip Kelly as the offensive coordinator of like what this type of decision he's making. But it seems like he's still got that college thinking and then making it to the NFL. It's like, no, that's not how it works. 

Chip. Yeah. I mean, Jeff Kelly has never really been a great NFL head coach, offensive coordinator. 

He has an interesting style. I just don't think he has the players to run the salad. He wants to run not a great game for survivor pool. 

Cause you just don't know. Like both teams are below average teams. And so they have potential to pull an upset, but I wouldn't, you know, you're pulling upsetting against another blue average team. 

So you just don't know they're two equally matched in, in how bad they are is the problem. Both teams are in trade swirl rumors, right? There's talk of Brian Thomas being on the trade block. There's talking to Toby Myers being on the trade block. 

There's Dino Smith get benched at some point, who knows? It's just too wonky for me to want, really want to pick it. There's one game I really want to pick and this is definitely not it. And there's another one, not the 49ers and giants where I already know I'm staying away from that one. 

The one I'm really, really, really would avoid void as far as way is the Minnesota Vikings and the Detroit lions, because the lions just came off a bye week in Minnesota. They're supposed to get JJ McCartney back. So this is the first time they're actually playing each other this year for those that people don't know about that. 

But with situation like this, it's like, I want to stay away from this game as possible because this is the tightest NFC. This is one, probably one of the best divisions I've seen in the NFC North at a long time. Yep. 

And you know, my rule is to stay away from divisional games and survivor pools from the get go. Right. But just because you have that familiarity in terms of like offensive play calling, you just don't know again. 

Right. So I stay away from divisional games. That's rule one. 

Rule two is stay away from any sort of spark. And that's J.D. McCarthy coming back. So I wouldn't surprise me if this game is super close or Minnesota pulls the upset.

Detroit is the better team. Let's just, I didn't do a better team. It's like top bottom. 

I think Jared golf is better than J.D. McCarthy. I think I'm around St. Brown is just as good as Justin Jefferson. I think Sam Laporta is just as good or if not better than TJ Hockinson. 

I think Jameson Williams is just as good as Jordan Addison. I think the defense for the lines is better than the defense for the Vikings. I think the offensive line for the lines is better than the offensive line for the Vikings. 

I think running backs, Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason are not as good as Gibbs and Montgomery. So the line should win, but because of the divisional game, because Minnesota has the spark of J.D. McCarthy going back, I just want to stay away from it. Exactly, because Detroit probably wanted Carson Wentz to play because it was Carson Wentz. 

I was like, yeah, you know what? Y'all can pick Detroit, but since J.J. McCarthy is back, it's like, no, no, especially if it's a big, big survivor pool with a lot of people. It's just not, it's not a smart idea to do it. It's too risky. 

Divisional games are always too risky for me. And then you have a new quarterback coming back. I just stay away.

Exactly. And I think, I think J.D. McCarthy is still a rookie, even though he didn't play last year. Yeah, I mean, he was out all last year. 

I mean, he had the benefit of learning last year and sitting and watching tape and being in film rooms and being on the sidelines, but he didn't do a ton of, you know, on the field. He wasn't practicing because of his leg. So he got the, like the film room education, but he wasn't getting the game speed. 

And I think he learned a lot this, so far in the short season. Yes, he's missed a couple of games, but he's been out there for practice past two weeks, you know, seeing that kind of different things. He's learning a lot and he's a smart guy. 

He went to Michigan, which is a good school. And he just wasn't asked to do a ton of Michigan, which is why people are down. But I think he's got the skills, especially with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and TJ Hawkins. 

And like, they've got receivers that can elevate his skills. So if he's a average quarterback, those receivers are going to make him feel like an above that above average quarterback. Now there's another team that I'm not confident with because it's not Indianapolis because Indianapolis is 71. 

So I got to give credit for Indianapolis for balling out. It's the Pittsburgh Steelers. Like offensively, they should put up a lot of points, but it's that defense is a letdown. 

And I was like, how you lose to the Green Bay Packers like that? Because they were leading in halftime and then second half, they just poof. Yeah. I mean, Aaron Rodgers has looked really good, but he also just can go out there and have stinkers every now and then. 

And I think there was so much wrapped up in last week's game. This might be kind of like, they were so hyped for last week's revenge game for Aaron Rodgers that they kind of just come and have a letdown this week, especially against the Colts, who are really, really good. You're right. 

They can't stop anybody on defense. So everyone's scoring a ton of points on on the Steelers. And when you have when you let the team score 24 plus points, that's recipe for losing more often than not.

Because I'm looking at the Colts schedule because week 10, they got a home game in week 10 against the Falcons. They got they played Kansas City in week 12 on the road. Then they got Houston in week 13. 

Then they got to go on the road in week 18 against them. So I'm looking at their schedule is it's going to be a little bit rough as as like week 12 goes on. Well, it's tough to find a spot to pick the Colts. 

I think that Atlanta games probably where I'm like, OK, I don't use the Colts. So this is probably the week I use them as against Atlanta coming up in a couple of weeks. Right. 

That's where I think this part in Survivor Pools, if you're still alive, you have to kind of plan everything out for the rest of the season. I mean, I try to plan out my whole season of Survivor Pools like these. These are the teams I'm going to pick. 

And these are my two alternates in case things change. Yeah, I'm getting injured or whatever. I think you really have to look, OK, when do I take what are you taking the Chiefs? When are you taking the bills? When are you now taking the Colts? Because the Colts are way better than we thought they'd be. 

And so it's like you're not taking on this week. You take them, you know, again, I'm avoiding divisional games, which I got a lot coming up. So I think it's Atlanta game is probably the next time I'm going to take the Colts. 

So it's that I'm musical sense of someone else. Maybe you take this week. And then you also got to look like this, like when you play, you also you don't well not intentionally want to plan for like last week, but you want to do it like week by week by week by week by week, because that will give you like, OK, if I take this team, what am I going to lose if I take this team this particular week? I think that's what most people don't look at.

They just look at it as like a safe perspective. Yeah. You have to kind of plan ahead and go, when am I taking these teams? Right. 

If you never take the Chiefs in your Survivor Pool, are you going to make it? Sure. But you want to take the Chiefs at some point because they're such a good team. You just got to find the right spot. 

And we know the Colts are good. They have a great run game. Daniel Jones has looked good as a basket. 

You have to find a spot to take them. And especially now we are headed into week nine. If you're still alive in the Survivor Pool, you're probably the pool's probably half half of it's gone, right? Like half of your pool at least is gone, if not two thirds of your pool. 

You have to be looking like I'm going to win this thing. And how do I get to the end of the season? Because that's what it might take to win. It might be you and three other guys for the next four or five weeks battling it out.

And you have to figure out like what's going to be your where you're going to use your guys. So you don't want to get down to where there's three guys and three weeks ago. I don't know.

I have no one left. I'm taking you're taking, you know, the Ravens or you're taking, you know, the Browns or something. You don't want to be stuck. 

So you want to make sure you're planning things out ahead of time. Planning will help you get ahead of the game. And yes, you may be get knocked out by some crazy game, but at least you made a good process and plan for everything.

Because usually I think the average, the average span for survival pool is seven to eight weeks. That's usually the span for survival pool players. Yeah. 

Right. And so we're, we're heading to week nine. So like most people are out of their survival pool. 

So if you're still around, start thinking long-term, like you can now start planning out the rest of the season. We, you know, it's tough week one, two, and three. Cause you go, I don't want to plan week three.

And you know, before the season, you don't know who's good. Who's not. But now we have a sense of what teams are good, what teams are bad, what offenses, what defenses are good. 

And you can make a plan because you have more information. Weeks one, two, and three, it's kind of like go with the chalk because we don't know anything. Now we know more and we there's injuries and right. 

You may go, Hey, I want to use the Colts, you know, in week 13, but you know, Jonathan Taylor might get hurt, heaven forbids. And then that changes everything. So, but make a plan. 

I, like I said, I always like to look at each week and go, this is my main target this week. And here are my two or three just in case that changes. And if you're like starting over just like I am, because I'm still in one of my original pools for week one, that's the only pool I have everything else.

I'm just starting over. So if you're starting over, Hey, look at the bright side. At least you'll get, you'll at least you'll get a better view than you did when you started in week one.

Yeah, for real. I mean, that's the thing. The more information you have, as the season goes on, you get more information, you know, more, you know, you've got bi-weeks where you're going to impact people and you have injuries that impact teams. 

So you have more information. You're just better off than you were week one. Gotcha. 

Now working on this is fine. You on social media, by the way, Dustin. Yeah. 

You can find me on Twitter at the D unit 13. Can I give you my pick for this week? The team, the game I'm going to pick if I was picking Green Bay Packers over the Carolina Panthers. Absolutely agree. 

That's probably one of the safest picks, especially. I think that's a lot this week. You're looking at a Packers defense with Michael Parsons playing either Bryce Young with it, with a bad ankle or Andy Dalton. 

Like that should be the lock. I would say in every pool, the Packers are going to be heavily favored. And I think it's okay to take chalk every now and then. 

If 90% of your pool's taking the Packers, I think it's okay to pick the Packers. Like just roll with it, get through the next week and then try to be crazy. I know a lot of people like to zig when others zag, take the Packers and don't worry about it this week. 

Right. Cause you know what? I'm looking at the Packer schedule. That's probably one of the picks for the Green Bay Packers. 

Cause if you look at the schedule, they got, they have a role game of Philadelphia 11 against the Giants, 12 against the Vikings, 13 at Detroit, 14 at Chicago, 15 in the Broncos. It's like, so you're not picking them against the Eagles.

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